Final note of the night
Despite CBS calling Indiana for Hillary Clinton earlier, TPM is reporting that Obama now trails by less than 20,000 votes. And that Lake County, which includes Gary, is just now reporting its totals, which appear to be overwhelmingly in favor of Obama.
I think a 14 point Obama win in NC, plus a narrow victory in Indiana, should wrap this puppy up this week.
UPDATE: Hillary Clinton won Indiana by something around 30,000 votes, or around 2%. I would expect her to have already decided to withdraw fromthe race, but she's looking for a graceful way to do so. The smirking heads at MSNBC were noting that Hillary is expected to win both Kentucky and West Virginia primaries in the coming weeks. Their take was that if she drops out, and still wins those primaries, it would be embarrassing for Barack Obama, so she'll probably stay in through the 20th.
We'll see. TPM says she's broke.
I think a 14 point Obama win in NC, plus a narrow victory in Indiana, should wrap this puppy up this week.
UPDATE: Hillary Clinton won Indiana by something around 30,000 votes, or around 2%. I would expect her to have already decided to withdraw fromthe race, but she's looking for a graceful way to do so. The smirking heads at MSNBC were noting that Hillary is expected to win both Kentucky and West Virginia primaries in the coming weeks. Their take was that if she drops out, and still wins those primaries, it would be embarrassing for Barack Obama, so she'll probably stay in through the 20th.
We'll see. TPM says she's broke.
Labels: 2008 elections
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4 Comments:
Wow. It was a bit maddening to hear Hillary Clinton speak in Indianapolis as if the tide had turned her way because of what presumably (at the time) was a narrow victory in Indiana. I sure wish Obama had never made a comment about Indiana being a "tiebreaker". He certainly didn't mean that to literally apply to the whole race, but now Hillary has spun the last three big contests as a big win for her (rendering Obama's convincing N.C. win moot), even if the net popular vote and delegate counts are negative. With certain wins in Kentucky and West Virginia, she could charge into the convention claiming she has all the momentum. No doubt that media will welcome a "bitter" battle that goes all the way to Denver, even though The Math told us two months ago that Clinton had almost no chance to overtake Obama in delegates.
I had heard of lots of first-time voters in Indiana being denied regular ballots and instead given provisional ballots. I haven't been reading up to see how serious this story might be. But I get the impression Hillary doesn't even care who technically wins Indiana as long as she can claim, for tonight, that she won, just like she claimed she won Texas despite ultimately losing the delegate count.
By
toastie, at 12:40 AM
I was listening to former Congressman Ford telling us on the cable that the one thing Obama needs to work on is reaching blue collar white folk, especially in rural areas.
Good advice.
But I would like to point out that this has been a problem for the Democrats in every election since 1980, when these folks became "Reagan Democrats." Bill Clinton overcame some of this problem through his bubba-ness. But casting this as a project unique to Obama because he's a) smart and b) black is a little misleading.
Obama started his political career on the street, he's a quick learner and a savvy guy. I am confident he'll find a way to reach these folks, at least enough of them, to make a difference. McCain is well-cast in the role of "beloved crazy old uncle" and "third term for Bush," so this race is for the Dems to lose.
By
Tony, at 6:26 PM
Harold Ford (i assume that's who you mean) doesn't need to be giving election advice to anybody, let alone Barack Obama.
By
Barry, at 6:32 PM
Yeah, I guess when gas hits $5 a gallon, it's going to be even harder to be John McCain?
By
Tony, at 11:01 PM
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