Dependable Erection

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Numbers

A quick look at some Durham numbers from the BoE.

Registered voters:
2006 Midterms - 143,450
2008 Presidential - 178,500
2010 Midterms - 166,061

Ballots cast:
2006 Midterms - 56,213
2008 Presidential - 137,358
2010 Midterms - 78,870

% Turnout:
2006 Midterms - 39.2%
2008 Presidential - 76.9%
2010 Midterms - 47.5%

Some key precincts the past 3 elections:
Precinct 5, Patterson Rec Center (registered voters, % turnout)
2006 - 3,034 25%
2008 - 5,105 62%
2010 - 4,196 16%

Precinct 22, VFW Post 2740
2006 - 3,548 25%
2008 - 4,509 73%
2010 - 4,182 39.7%

Precinct 23, The River Church
2006 - 3,945 39.9%
2008 - 5,056 73%
2010 - 4,891 51%

Precinct 43, Forest View Elementary
2006 - 5,105 52%
2008 - 5,894 79%
2010 - 5,515 56%

Precinct 35, Parkwood Fire House/South Point Village*
2006 - 5,831 48%
2008 - 6,470 88%
2010 - 6,741 56.6%


Demographics for Durham's different precincts can be downloaded from the County BoE in a PDF file here. I'll leave it as an exercise for the reader to analyze these results demographically. Make sure you look at the precinct by precinct results of the street bond in your analysis.

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*Precinct 35 was split into 35-1 and 35-2 after the 2006 midterm election.

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2 Comments:

  • With regard to that Patterson Rec Center number, I've got to assume from the demographics that that's dominated by the Lasalle/Campus Walk complex of Duke upperclassman/grad student housing. Given that, the only way I can figure 17% turnout is if that group disproportionately voted early, which as I understand it, wouldn't show up in those turnout numbers.

    By Blogger Michael Bacon, at 3:40 PM  

  • According to Durham BoE:

    Precinct 5
    Registered voters - 4,196
    Voted in precinct - 466
    Voted absentee - 214
    Total voted - 680
    % voted - 16.21%

    lowest percentage turnout of any precinct i town. Absentee ballots includes early votes, as i understand it; the total of absentee votes (25,984) matches the total of One Stop votes (13,015 + 5,603 + 6,314) plus absentee mail votes (962). It's possible that mail votes disproportionately came from that precinct, but there were fewer than a thousand of those county wide.

    I'm guessing that with no national race on the ballot, the local races weren't enough to generate interest from people who largely come from other places.

    By Blogger Barry, at 3:51 PM  

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